Kitchener-Waterloo·Canada Votes 2025

Chagger projected to win Waterloo, O'Rourke in Guelph, many other ridings still too close to call

CBC Decision Desk is projecting another term for the Liberals. Polls have closed across Waterloo region, Guelph and Wellington County. There are some tight races expected in Waterloo region while in Guelph, a new MP will be chosen.

Incumbents in Wellington-Halton Hills North and Perth-Wellington projected to retain seats

Elections Canada signage is seen at an advance polling location, in Toronto, Friday, April 18, 2025.
Elections Canada signage is seen at an advance polling location in Toronto on Friday, April 18. (Laura Proctor/The Canadian Press)

Polls have closed across Waterloo region, Guelph and Wellington County and CBC Decision Desk is projecting another term for the Liberals.

CBC News is projecting the Liberals will form its fourth consecutive government, but it is too soon to say whether it will be a minority or majority.

Two of the MPs expected to join the party in Ottawa are Bardish Chagger in Waterloo and Dominique O'Rourke in Guelph, who were both projected to win their ridings by CBC's Decision Desk.

Joining the Opposition will be Wellington-Halton Hills Conservative candidate Michael Chong and Conservative John Nater in Perth-Wellington. Both were incumbents who retained their seats.

Three ridings: Kitchener Centre, Kitchener-Conestoga and Kitchener South-Hespeler have very close races that are too close to call.

Over the course of the campaign, voters told CBC K-W some of their top concerns were housing, Canada's relationship with the U.S. and the possible impact of tariffs on local jobs and workers, and climate change.

Cambridge

In Cambridge, the seat could flip.

Conservative candidate Connie Cody was leading Liberal incumbent Bryan May with 203 of 215 polls reporting.

May has held the seat since 2015. In 2021, May won with 2,210 votes more than Cody.

Kitchener Centre

In Kitchener Centre, Green party incumbent Mike Morrice was seeking a second term, but it appeared it would be a tough battle.

The Greens, Liberals and Conservatives switched positions as more polls reported throughout the evening.

With 177 of 213 polls reporting, Conservative Kelly DeRidder led with 678 votes over Morrice. Liberal Brian Adeba was in third.

Kitchener-Conestoga

Again this year, it appears to be a close race in Kitchener-Conestoga as the riding switched between Liberal and Conservative throughout the evening.

With 190 of 205 polls reporting, Conservative Doug Treleave had a 604 vote lead over Liberal incumbent Tim Louis.

Kitchener-Conestoga has had close races in the last three elections. Liberal incumbent Tim Louis won by 577 votes over the Conservative candidate. The results weren't known until the morning after and were among some of the last to be reported in the country.

In 2019, Louis won by 251 votes and results, again, weren't known until the following day, although the delay was due to human error. In 2015, Louis lost to then Conservative incumbent Harold Albrecht by 365 votes.

Kitchener South-Hespeler

This is another riding that could flip. Conservative Matt Strauss was leading this riding with 1,468 votes more than Liberal incumbent Valerie Bradford with 183 of 203 polls reporting.

In 2021 it was also a very close race, when Bradford won by 947 votes over the Conservative candidate.

Waterloo

Liberal incumbent Bardish Chagger was projected to win this riding by the CBC Decision Desk. Chagger had nearly 59 per cent of the vote with 200 of 218 polls reporting.

Guelph

In Guelph, Liberal Dominique O'Rourke has been projected to win the seat in Guelph.

The seat was open because Liberal MP Lloyd Longfield, who held the seat since 2015, did not run again.

With 191 of 211 polls reporting, is leading with 52.5 per cent of the vote in that city. Conservative candidate Gurvir Khaira was in second, followed by Green candidate Anne-Marie Zajdlik.

Wellington-Halton Hills North

Conservative incumbent Michael Chong has been projected to win his seat again. Chong has been the MP for this riding since 2004.

With 188of 222 polls reporting, Chong had 52 per cent of the votes.

Perth-Wellington

Conservative incumbent John Nater has been projected to win in Perth-Wellington.

Nater had 55 per cent of the vote with 180 of 222 polls reporting.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Kate Bueckert

Content producer

Kate has been covering issues in southern Ontario for more than 20 years. She is currently the content producer for CBC Kitchener-Waterloo. Email: [email protected]

With files from Aastha Shetty, John Dalusong and Cameron Mahler