Latest from Evan Dyer
Analysis
How Trump uses disinformation in his trade war with Canada
The Trump administration has spread disinformation about the true terms of trade between the U.S. and Canada. While tariff rate quotas are rarely used, disinformation about them complicates negotiations.
Analysis
As Europe rearms, Canada has what it needs. That can be the basis of a post-NATO alliance
The Canadian government has turned to Europe in search not only of new trade partners, but also hoping to firm up support against the annexation threats coming from the United States. But what can Canada offer in return? And what might such an alliance look like?
Analysis
The U.S. has covertly destabilized nations. With Canada, it's being done in public
Former senior Canadian intelligence officials say Canada needs to be on the lookout for campaigns aimed at destabilizing the country amid U.S. President Donald Trump's escalating 51st state threats. They say those attempts would likely come on social media, aimed at the country's most economically vulnerable.
Analysis
Mexico's president is praised at home for handling Trump. But she must walk a fine line
Mexico's president is getting high grades for her handling of U.S. President Donald Trump, both in public opinion and in Mexico's markets. Her government has scored notable successes against the Sinaloa cartel in recent days and weeks. But she has had to walk a fine line in a nation sensitive to U.S. interference.
Analysis
Trump's talk about Canada parrots Putin's claims on Ukraine
Donad Trump's threats and claims about Canada may be unprecedented in the history of U.S.-Canada relations. But they have a strong precedent elsewhere in recent history: They closely resemble remarks made by Russia's Vladimir Putin to justify his invasion of Ukraine in 2022.
Analysis
Don't expect Trump to keep the pressure on India over hit squads operating in Canada
With Donald Trump back in office, the U.S. is much less likely to pressure India over assassination plots than it was under Joe Biden — including one that targeted a U.S. citizen on U.S. soil.
What did Mexico give Trump? A bit of theatre, says former ambassador
Many of the concessions Trump claimed to have won from Mexico when he agreed to a delay on tariffs were not really new, at least in a significant way. But Mexico's former ambassador to the U.S. says the country should still expect more tariff threats, if not worse.
Analysis
Why Canada's spies worry about Trump's national intelligence nominee
The U.S. Senate is conducting confirmation hearings for Tulsi Gabbard, Donald Trump's nominee for director of national intelligence. Gabbard has no background in intelligence, and a history of promoting conspiracies and supporting dictators at odds with the West. Canadian intelligence experts say that could be a problem for Canada.
Analysis
Trump's threats reveal the trouble with Canada's pipelines running through the U.S.
Canada's crude oil exports give this country powerful leverage in any trade war with the United States. But interconnectedness is a double-edged sword: the U.S. also controls pipelines that flow into Canada. The long-term solution is Canadian pipelines to non-U.S. markets — pipelines that never leave Canadian soil.
Analysis
Cutting off oil is Canada's nuclear option. What would it mean if it happens?
Tariffs on crude oil — or witholding it entirely — in response to Trump's threats would cause pain on both sides of the border.